On Saturday, Israel's retaliatory attack was framed as "carefully calibrated." But in the absence of a ceasefire, regional turmoil is simmering close to an edge, thanks to the escalation ladder.

EARLY on Saturday, Israel hit Iran with a set of airstrikes, stating it was targeting military sites in retaliation for the 180 missiles that Iran fired into Israel over three weeks ago (which itself was a reprisal against a prior Israeli offensive).

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