VICTOR N. CORPUS

A WORST-case scenario is formulated to allow the leader of a country or commander of an army a chance to prepare and prevent such worst-case scenario from happening. History is replete with vivid examples showing the disastrous consequences when leaders or commanders fail to consider the worst-case scenario in their given circumstances. Among these examples: when Hannibal crossed the Alps with his elephants and routed the Roman forces from behind; the French Maginot Line that failed when the German tanks used the Ardennes Forest to bypass French defense lines; again, the French when Viet Minh guerrillas dismantled their artillery pieces, carried them on their backs up the hills surrounding Dien Bien Phu and reassembled them on the hilltops to fire at the French troops below; the United States forces in Vietnam, considered to be the most powerful military force in the world, were defeated ignominiously by “ill-clad, ill-fed and ill-armed” Viet Cong. Of course, there is also the example of Pearl Harbor, where US forces were caught totally unprepared, or 9/11. All met with huge disaster because their leadership failed to consider the worst-case scenarios and take positive steps to prevent such scenarios from becoming reality.

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